Over the past few trading days, the British pound has been confined to a very tight trading range. The following chart illustrates the predicament that GBP/USD traders find themselves in right now and I believe that the breakout will be to downside with the GBP/USD testing 1.60 in the near term.
This morning, Standard & Poor’s announced that “We no longer classify the United Kingdom (AAA/Negative/A-1+) among the most stable and low-risk banking systems globally” and I have to say that this is HUGE. S&P had already lowered the U.K.’s place in its Banking Industry Country Risk Assessment gauge to Group 3 from Group 2 on Dec. 21. The risk of investing in the U.K. is now on par with the risk of investing in countries like Portugal, Saudi Arabia, Ireland, Chile and Austria. You can imagine what this means to investors looking for a place to put their money.
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